Palantir’s meteoric rise from $5 to over $190 a share has everyone chasing the “next big thing,” and right now BigBear.ai is in the spotlight. I break down the hype versus reality by looking at its government contracts, new leadership, commercial expansion into biometrics, and the risks of competition and dilution. While the story is compelling, the financials reveal flat revenue growth and heavy reliance on just a few clients, making execution the key factor. The real question isn’t whether this could be the next Palantir—it’s whether the fundamentals and price truly justify the risk.
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